Exchange rates for today, September 11, 2017: The Central Bank of the Russian Federation lowered the dollar rate and raised the euro rate for today.
The official dollar exchange rate established by the Bank of Russia as of September 11, 2017 is 56.99 rubles, the euro rate for today is 68.69 rubles.
The dollar exchange rate in Sberbank today is set at 55.79 rubles. upon purchase and 58.91 rubles. when sold by the bank, the euro rate as of September 11, 2017 is 67.29 rubles. and 70.79 rubles. when buying and selling by Sberbank, respectively.
Forecast of the dollar for the week of 2017 in Russia: expert opinion
Last week ruble intkbbee showed the firmness of the course, but so far there are no additional factors contributing to its noticeable strengthening.
According to experts, oil prices, which have settled in the region of $ 50-53 per barrel, only support the Russian currency, and the expectation of a decrease in the key rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation by 50 basis points at the end of the week is already included in the ruble quotes.
Vladimir Borisov, head of the Treasury Products Sales Department at Absolut Bank, said that the current positive external environment and the rise in oil prices will keep the trend towards strengthening the ruble in the next week.
"The US dollar retains its status as an outsider in the foreign exchange market and continues to lose its value relative to the currencies of developed countries and emerging markets. The Russian ruble, on the contrary, shows the best dynamics among EM currencies. A comfortable situation with ruble liquidity will remain in the coming week," analyst "Kommersant".
According to him, a possible decrease in the key rate by 50 basis points is already included in the ruble quotes and will not cause an increase in volatility in the domestic market.
Anastasia Sosnova, a leading analyst at Rossiyskiy Kapital Bank, also gave her forecast for the period from 11 to 15 September.
"If favorable conditions on the market continue, we expect that this level will be retested. Favorable conditions mean continued balancing of Brent oil prices in the range of $ 53-55 per barrel, as well as the absence of negative surprises in geopolitics. Fixing the US dollar rate below 57 rubles per dollar, in turn, will open the way for the American currency to lower levels, "she said.
Exchange rates for today September 15, 2017: The Central Bank of the Russian Federation raised the dollar and lowered the euro for today.
The ruble is in for a lot of surprises.
Current exchange rate: USD 57.77 EUR 68.69 oil 55.28
The dollar exchange rate for today, September 15, 2017: the ruble is tired of watching oil and the rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation - experts
Exchange rates for today, September 15, 2017: The Central Bank of the Russian Federation raised the dollar and lowered the euro for today.
The official dollar rate set by the Bank of Russia as of September 15, 2017 is 57.77 rubles, the euro rate for today is 68.69 rubles.
The dollar exchange rate in Sberbank today is set at 56.14 rubles. upon purchase and 59.26 rubles. when sold by the bank, the euro rate for today is 66.92 rubles. and 70.42 rubles. when buying and selling Sberbanks, respectively.
Forecast of the dollar for the week of 2017 in Russia: expert opinion
According to financial analyst Boris Belkin, today the ruble will hardly have the strength for serious changes in the exchange rate, and a possible decrease in the rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation during today's meeting has to some extent already been incorporated into the course of trading.
"And although, from the point of view of the laws of the economy, its reduction can bring the ruble back to the level of 60 per dollar, this is unlikely to happen," the expert is quoted by Rossiyskaya Gazeta.
According to him, several factors are currently affecting the ruble exchange rate: strong oil, the continued appetite for risk among investors and the beginning of the tax period.
“The forecasts also played a role - according to the US Department of Energy, the demand for black gold will grow. Interestingly, these forecasts are purely speculative, as they relate to 2030 and 2040, but, nevertheless, in the absence of other news, the market believes in them. Because there is nothing else left, ”added the analyst.
In 2019, the ruble exchange rate will "noticeably fall" regardless of US sanctions, said Andrey Klepach, deputy chairman and chief economist at VEB. Until the end of 2018, he believes, the ruble exchange rate will be relatively stable.
“I don't think a wave is possible now. The rate will remain at the current level until the end of the year, it may even strengthen. But next year, even outside the context of the sanctions, the ruble exchange rate will decrease significantly, "said Mr. Klepach at the international business conference KEF-2018 in Minsk (quoted by Interfax).
According to the VEB's co-chairman, the US sanctions "had a serious inhibitory effect on the development of the economy." He noted that Russia was "cut off from the world borrowing market." According to his forecasts, capital outflow by the end of the year will double and will continue to grow in the future.
Dollar exchange rate forecast for 2019 in Russia
The Ministry of Finance of Russia laid down in the "Main directions of budgetary, tax and customs-tariff policy" for 2019-21. expenses for the purchase of foreign currency in the amount of 8.518 trillion rubles. The purchase of foreign currency will become the second largest item of expenditure in the RF budget, exceeding spending both on defense (2 trillion rubles) and on the police (2.8 trillion rubles) and second only to allocations for social policy (4.6 trillion rubles).
In this regard, Vladimir Rozhankovsky, an expert at the International Financial Center, says that the ruble exchange rate will continue to be increasingly a function of the country's fiscal policy and the level of monetary liquidity in the system. Forecasts for the ruble will become more uncertain and wide-ranging. In this scenario, provided that the US Federal Reserve continues its policy of a strong dollar, the ruble may weaken to 72-75 per dollar.
Expert forecasts - will the dollar rise or fall?
The Ministry of Finance predicts a gradual depreciation of the ruble against the US dollar in the future until 2035. This is stated in the bill that the department submitted to the State Duma.
So, the Ministry of Finance calculated that in 2021-2025 one dollar will cost 66.4 rubles, in 2026-2030 - 71.1 rubles, and in the next five years 73.9 rubles will be asked for one dollar.
At the same time, the head of the Ministry of Economic Development, Maxim Oreshkin, during an economic forum in September in Vladivostok, confirmed that in the medium term, the department expects the exchange rate to strengthen to 63-64 rubles. for the dollar. The Minister of Economic Development even said at the time that under the current market situation, one should sell dollars and buy rubles.
How much will the dollar cost in 2019 in Russia - latest news
Deutsche Bank has recognized the ruble as one of the most undervalued world currencies in contrast to the overvalued dollar.
According to Deutsche Bank economist Christian Vetoshka, at the moment the ruble is 15% weaker than its "fair rate". The specialist believes that the ruble will be able to strengthen up to 60 rubles. for the dollar. The US dollar, according to the bank's analysts, was, on the contrary, overvalued by 7%.
As noted in a study by Deutsche Bank, support for the ruble is provided, in particular, by the recent increase by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation of the key rate, foreign exchange reserves, and the suspension of purchases of foreign currency by the Bank of Russia within the framework of the current budget rule.
Dollar exchange rate forecast for 2019, table
| ▲ will rise | 69,42 | 69,97 +0,55 |
| ▼ will decrease | 69,97 | 68 –1,97 |
| ▼ will decrease | 68 | 67,26 –0,75 |
| ▼ will decrease | 67,26 | 64,46 –2,8 |
| ▼ will decrease | 64,46 | 62,75 –1,71 |
Keep in mind that the exchange rates set by the central bank do not change on weekends! In the table below you can see the dollar and euro exchange rates for today, tomorrow and a week ahead. If you are interested in the future fate of currencies, follow the news and track quotes updates.
| Dollar rate | Euro exchange rate | Ruble's exchange rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| There will be an official course for 10/30/2019 (we will find out through 20 hours) |
? | ? | ? |
| Current official exchange rate as of 10/29/2019 the most favorable rates in banks |
63.8700 -13 kopecks. |
70.8382 -28 kopecks |
has risen in price + 0.29% |
| Register and trade on Forex without investment - you will receive your starting capital as a gift! With successful trading, the earned money can be taken away! |
|||
| Since the definition of the last official rate on 10/29/2019 | dropped -21 kopecks |
dropped -25 kopecks |
has risen in price +0.34% (oil during this time: |
| In the last hour | decreased slightly -4 kopecks |
dropped a little -9 kopecks |
increased insignificantly +0.09% |
InstaForex current exchange rate
Forecast of the dollar and euro for a month
| Exchange Rates Forecast for October | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| date | Day of week | Course | Max. | Min. | Course | Max. | Min. |
| 28.10.2019 | Monday | 64.16 | 65.12 | 63.20 | 71.11 | 72.18 | 70.04 |
| 29.10.2019 | Tuesday | 64.42 | 65.39 | 63.45 | 71.45 | 72.52 | 70.38 |
| 30.10.2019 | Wednesday | 64.24 | 65.20 | 63.28 | 71.09 | 72.16 | 70.02 |
| 31.10.2019 | Thursday | 64.37 | 65.34 | 63.40 | 71.10 | 72.17 | 70.03 |
| Exchange Rate Forecast for November | Forecast of the dollar for a week and a month | Euro exchange rate forecast for a week and a month | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| date | Day of week | Course | Max. | Min. | Course | Max. | Min. |
| 01.11.2019 | Friday | 64.00 | 64.96 | 63.04 | 70.97 | 72.03 | 69.91 |
| 05.11.2019 | Tuesday | 64.00 | 64.96 | 63.04 | 71.33 | 72.40 | 70.26 |
| 06.11.2019 | Wednesday | 63.77 | 64.73 | 62.81 | 71.33 | 72.40 | 70.26 |
| 07.11.2019 | Thursday | 63.80 | 64.76 | 62.84 | 71.41 | 72.48 | 70.34 |
| 08.11.2019 | Friday | 63.84 | 64.80 | 62.88 | 71.35 | 72.42 | 70.28 |
| 11.11.2019 | Monday | 63.61 | 64.56 | 62.66 | 71.32 | 72.39 | 70.25 |
| 12.11.2019 | Tuesday | 63.18 | 64.13 | 62.23 | 71.05 | 72.12 | 69.98 |
| 13.11.2019 | Wednesday | 62.88 | 63.82 | 61.94 | 70.83 | 71.89 | 69.77 |
| 14.11.2019 | Thursday | 63.12 | 64.07 | 62.17 | 71.00 | 72.07 | 69.94 |
| 15.11.2019 | Friday | 63.40 | 64.35 | 62.45 | 71.23 | 72.30 | 70.16 |
| 18.11.2019 | Monday | 62.98 | 63.92 | 62.04 | 70.86 | 71.92 | 69.80 |
| 19.11.2019 | Tuesday | 62.86 | 63.80 | 61.92 | 70.78 | 71.84 | 69.72 |
| 20.11.2019 | Wednesday | 62.85 | 63.79 | 61.91 | 70.93 | 71.99 | 69.87 |
| 21.11.2019 | Thursday | 63.15 | 64.10 | 62.20 | 71.26 | 72.33 | 70.19 |
| 22.11.2019 | Friday | 63.40 | 64.35 | 62.45 | 71.54 | 72.61 | 70.47 |
| 25.11.2019 | Monday | 63.80 | 64.76 | 62.84 | 72.11 | 73.19 | 71.03 |
| 26.11.2019 | Tuesday | 63.85 | 64.81 | 62.89 | 71.99 | 73.07 | 70.91 |
| 27.11.2019 | Wednesday | 64.06 | 65.02 | 63.10 | 71.74 | 72.82 | 70.66 |
| 28.11.2019 | Thursday | 64.21 | 65.17 | 63.25 | 72.07 | 73.15 | 70.99 |
| 29.11.2019 | Friday | 64.03 | 64.99 | 63.07 | 71.66 | 72.73 | 70.59 |
What determines the dollar exchange rate, factors affecting exchange rates
If you are interested in buying or selling euros or dollars, the exchange rate is an important indicator for you every day. Today, both monetary units are showing significant volatility. This is primarily due to political factors.
What affects the exchange rate of the US dollar and the euro:
- decisions made by diplomats in the framework of international cooperation. Yesterday Angela Merkel announced her readiness to come to an agreement with Russia - the euro fell slightly against the ruble. Tomorrow Donald Trump will issue a new package of sanctions - the dollar will jump to the skies. Therefore, if you want to play on the currency exchange or make money on buying / selling currency, you need to follow the political news;
- economic situation in the country and in the world. Yes, even economic shifts within Russia affect the position of the ruble, respectively, and the exchange rate of foreign currencies against it;
- decisions of the Central Bank. It is known that at the beginning of the aggravation of relations with Europe and the United States, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation tried to balance the jumps in exchange rates against the ruble using its own resources. Today, the volatility of the dollar and the euro has slightly decreased, and the system of containment of the Russian banking network played a significant role in this.
Previous rate predictions
We all remember the times when the dollar exchange rate did not exceed 35 rubles, and the euro was kept at 39-45 rubles. Unfortunately or fortunately, these rates have not appeared on the boards in banks and exchange offices for several years. Below is our forecast of currency rates a few days before the start of the rapid fall of the ruble. This information is presented just like that, as a keepsake ...
Dear visitors of the site "Forecast of the exchange rate for tomorrow", we draw your attention to the fact that the forecast of the exchange rate of the dollar and the euro is given only for informational purposes and cannot be regarded as a guide to action! We are not responsible for the accuracy of these forecasts, since exchange rates depend on a huge number of factors and even the most experienced trader, broker, financier (yes, in general, anyone) will not be able to predict the exchange rate for tomorrow, week or month with 100% accuracy!
Hello, dear blog guests, the most recent forecast of the dollar exchange rate for September 2017 was compiled especially for you. According to many experts, September will negatively affect the well-being of domestic citizens. Despite the fact that officials are optimistic, many experts are confident that in September the ruble will slightly lose ground against the US dollar.
External factors, as well as a limited amount of budgetary funds, will lead to a weakening of the national currency. Ministry of Economic Development officials plan to avoid adverse consequences. Maxim Oreshkin, who is currently the head of the ministry, believes that the ruble will strengthen in the future as a result of favorable dynamics in the oil market.
When planning the budget, the oil price of $ 40 was taken into account, and today it costs $ 52. Stability in the foreign exchange market will have a positive effect on the country's economy. According to the statement of the representative of VEB Andrey Klepach, the Central Bank has all the necessary resources to reduce the value of volatility.
If in the future the price of oil does not fall below $ 50, then it will be possible to maintain the status quo of the domestic currency. In addition, Klepach assumes that the total amount of black gold on the market will decrease in the future, which will have a favorable effect on its price. In addition, he expects an increase in demand for black gold, which should arise as a result of the development of the economies of the leading countries of the world. Despite a large number of problems, the Chinese economy continues to develop this year.
The forecast for the dollar for September 2017 from Bank of America employees says that the value of the American currency will not rise above 60 rubles. It should be noted that not all analysts agree with this forecast. 
Potential risks
Many analysts believe that in September the price of the American currency may rise to 65 rubles. The experts of Raiffeisenbank adhere to the same opinion. In their opinion, the ruble will fall in price as a result of an increase in foreign exchange injections by the Ministry of Finance amid falling prices on the oil market. In their opinion, the price of oil will not be able to stay above the 50 mark for a long time due to the imbalance in the market.
Employees of Zerich Capital Management are of the same opinion. The domestic currency, as before, is highly dependent on external factors, which will soon cause the dollar to rise in price to 62-63. In addition, the following factors will contribute to the reduction in the price of the domestic currency: increased tension between the United States and the Russian Federation, as well as a decrease in interest rates of the Central Bank. The rise in interest rates, coupled with the growth of a similar parameter by the Fed, will lead to an increase in the spread, which, in turn, will cause an outflow of investments. In 2017, investors will reduce their deposits in the domestic economy, which will certainly affect the exchange rate of the national currency. In addition, the dollar has the added advantage of anticipating improvements in the US economy.
The sanctions imposed on our country impede cooperation in the field of technology, which prevents the implementation of a huge number of important projects. In addition, Russian firms suffer from a lack of affordable credit.
Many analysts have previously envisioned an easing of political tensions. But so far Russia has failed to come to a common denominator on many strategic issues. This is a civil war in Syria and Ukraine, and so on. Some experts do not exclude the emergence of new controversial issues, which may cause the introduction of additional sanctions.
A slight drop in the cost of the ruble will not greatly affect the country's economy. But, in this way, the national budget will receive an additional source of income and will be able to replenish the treasury.
Useful depreciation of the ruble
The appreciation of the American currency will cause an increase in the cost of oil in ruble terms, which will make it possible to compensate for the deficit in the budget. The government of the country will receive a new source of profit, with the help of which it will be possible to fully fulfill social obligations.
With such a development of events, the Ministry of Finance will be able to reduce the volume of lending and retain reserves, which, with the weakening of the US dollar, could significantly decrease. In addition, domestic exporting companies, as well as firms that take part in the state program of import substitution, are interested in reducing the cost of the national currency.
A slight weakening of the ruble will act as an additional advantage for our goods, which will have a beneficial effect on the overall economy. Pessimists fear a weakening of the ruble, as inflation in the country will increase, which will cause a reduction in the income of our compatriots. In addition, domestic consumption of goods will decrease, which will slow down economic growth. But the beneficial effect of the depreciation of the ruble will have only a short-term effect.
Attention: this forecast was made for informational purposes only and is not a guide to action.